Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.000789 0.000845 0.000904 0.000970 0.001044 0.001123 0.001215
2026-01-04 0.000685 0.000758 0.000839 0.000935 0.001047 0.001173 0.001329
2026-01-11 0.000626 0.000710 0.000805 0.000922 0.001064 0.001232 0.001448
2026-01-18 0.000586 0.000677 0.000783 0.000917 0.001086 0.001292 0.001569
2026-01-25 0.000631 0.000746 0.000885 0.001068 0.001307 0.001615 0.002054
2026-02-01 0.000583 0.000698 0.000839 0.001029 0.001283 0.001619 0.002113
2026-02-08 0.000546 0.000661 0.000804 0.001001 0.001269 0.001633 0.002186
2026-02-15 0.000520 0.000636 0.000783 0.000988 0.001275 0.001673 0.002297
2026-02-22 0.000492 0.000607 0.000755 0.000964 0.001261 0.001684 0.002364
2026-03-01 0.000462 0.000575 0.000720 0.000929 0.001230 0.001666 0.002384
2026-03-08 0.000444 0.000556 0.000703 0.000917 0.001231 0.001695 0.002479
2026-03-15 0.000425 0.000536 0.000684 0.000900 0.001223 0.001709 0.002550
2026-03-22 0.000394 0.000500 0.000642 0.000853 0.001172 0.001661 0.002526
2026-03-29 0.000370 0.000473 0.000613 0.000823 0.001146 0.001650 0.002569
2026-04-05 0.000355 0.000457 0.000598 0.000812 0.001148 0.001686 0.002696
2026-04-12 0.000343 0.000445 0.000588 0.000808 0.001160 0.001738 0.002860
2026-04-19 0.000369 0.000489 0.000659 0.000934 0.001392 0.002192 0.003883
2026-04-26 0.000349 0.000465 0.000632 0.000901 0.001358 0.002167 0.003921
2026-05-03 0.000334 0.000447 0.000610 0.000878 0.001337 0.002165 0.004009
2026-05-10 0.000322 0.000434 0.000597 0.000868 0.001338 0.002205 0.004197
2026-05-17 0.000309 0.000418 0.000579 0.000847 0.001320 0.002206 0.004292
2026-05-24 0.000295 0.000400 0.000556 0.000818 0.001284 0.002168 0.004290
2026-05-31 0.000286 0.000390 0.000545 0.000808 0.001282 0.002199 0.004464